Two cases of atraumatic adrenal hemorrhage: A review of active management, conservative management, and challenges faced.

Adrenal hemorrhage (AH) is an uncommon and potentially disastrous affliction that carries an accepted mortality risk of 15%. Variable symptomatology can cause a diagnostic dilemma and may be missed. We present 2 cases of right-sided AH; both cases were initially presumed to be renal colic. Case 1 was an 86-year-old gentleman, presenting with right flank pain found to have a right-sided atraumatic AH. He presented with hemorrhagic shock, requiring angioembolization of the bleeding vessel. Case 2 was a 62-year-old gentleman who presented with right flank pain and was found to have a right-sided atraumatic AH. He was hemodynamically stable and successfully managed conservatively. Adrenal hemorrhage is a potentially fatal affliction that may be missed. CT scans are the recommended imaging modality during an acute presentation due to wider availability and fast assessment. We demonstrate a hemodynamically stable patient managed with a 'watch and wait' approach and an unstable patient managed with resuscitation followed by urgent angioembolization.

Renal artery pseudoaneurysm following robot assisted nephron sparing surgery: two case reports.

BACKGROUND: Renal artery pseudoaneurysm following partial nephrectomy is a rare entity, the incidence of this entity is more common following penetrating abdominal injuries, percutaneous renal interventions such as percutaneous nephrostomy(PCN) or Percutaneous nephrolithotomy (PCNL). Although rare, renal artery pseudoaneurysm can be life threatening if not managed timely, they usually present within two weeks postoperatively with usual presenting complains being gross haematuria, flank pain and/or anaemia. CASE PRESENTATION: We report case of two female patients 34 and 57 year old respectively of South Asian ethnicity, presenting with renal artery pseudoaneurysm following left sided robot assisted nephron sparing surgery for interpolar masses presenting clinically with total, painless, gross haematuria with clots within fifteen days postoperatively and their successful treatment by digital subtraction angiography and coil embolization. CONCLUSION: Renal artery aneurysm is a rare fatal complication of minimally invasive nephron sparing surgery however considering the preoperative and intraoperative risk factors for its development and prompt suspicion at the outset can be life saving with coil embolization of the bleeding arterial aneurysm.

Wunderlich Syndrome: A Seldom Presentation of a Relatively Ubiquitous Tumor.

Wunderlich syndrome (WS) is characterized by spontaneous renal or perinephric hemorrhage in the absence of known trauma. WS is much rarer than haemorrhage caused by iatrogenic or traumatic conditions. The classic WS presentation of Lenk's triad of acute onset flank pain, flank mass, and hypovolemic shock is seen in less than a quarter of patients. The majority of patients present with only isolated flank pain and are frequently imaged in the emergency department with an unenhanced computed tomography (CT). The underlying aetiology varies, with the majority of cases attributed to neoplasms, vascular disease, cystic renal disease, and anticoagulation. We hereby present a case of an 80-year-old female who presented with severe discomfort in her left flank for three days in the absence of trauma. The patient was brought in a state of hypovolemic shock. After a thorough evaluation, a diagnosis of WS secondary to angiomyolipoma was made, for which selective angioembolization of the left renal artery was performed. However, due to further deterioration, a left nephrectomy had to be performed. The patient had an uneventful recovery and showed no deterioration on follow-up. The treatment modalities are vivid depending on the hemodynamic status of the patient, ranging from conservative management to operative intervention, and should be tailored to the vital state on admission.

Timing, incidence and management of delayed bleeding after partial nephrectomy in patients at risk for recurrent, bilateral, multifocal renal tumors.

INTRODUCTION: Delayed bleeding is a potentially serious complication after partial nephrectomy (PN), with reported rates of 1%-2%. Patients with multiple renal tumors, including those with hereditary forms of kidney cancer, are often managed with resection of multiple tumors in a single kidney which may increase the risk of delayed bleeding, though outcomes have not previously been reported specifically in this population. The objective of this study was to evaluate the incidence and timing of delayed bleeding as well as the impact of intervention on renal functional outcomes in a cohort primarily made up of patients at risk for bilateral, multifocal renal tumors. METHODS: A retrospective review of a prospectively maintained database of patients with known or suspected predisposition to bilateral, multifocal renal tumors who underwent PN from 2003 to 2023 was conducted. Patients who presented with delayed bleeding were identified. Patients with delayed bleeding were compared to those without. Comparative statistics and univariate logistic regression were used to determine potential risk factors for delayed bleeding. RESULTS: A total of 1256 PN were performed during the study period. Angiographic evidence of pseudoaneurysm, AV fistula and/or extravasation occurred in 24 cases (1.9%). Of these, 21 were symptomatic presenting with gross hematuria in 13 (54.2%), decreasing hemoglobin in 4(16.7%), flank pain in 2(8.3%), and mental status change in 2 (8.3%), while 3 patients were asymptomatic. Median number of resected tumors was 5 (IQR 2-8). All patients underwent angiogram with super-selective embolization. Median time to bleed event was 13.5 days (IQR 7-22). Factors associated with delayed bleeding included open approach (OR 2.2, IQR(1.06-5.46), P = 0.04 and left-sided surgery (OR 4.93, IQR(1.67-14.5), P = 0.004. Selective embolization had little impact on ultimate renal functional outcomes, with a median change of 11% from the baseline eGFR after partial nephrectomy and embolization. One patient required total nephrectomy for refractory bleeding after embolization. CONCLUSIONS: Delayed bleeding after PN in a cohort of patients with multifocal tumors is an infrequent event, with similar rates to single tumor series. Patients should be counseled regarding timing and symptoms of delayed bleeding and multidisciplinary management with interventional radiology is critical for timely diagnosis and treatment.

Renal pseudoaneurysm after calculous pyelonephritis.

Introduction: Renal pseudoaneurysms reportedly occur after partial nephrectomy, renal trauma, or percutaneous procedures. Renal pseudoaneurysms can also occur after renal inflammation; however, such cases are rare and seldom reported. Case presentation: A 53-year-old man presented to our emergency room with a 3-day history of fever and right back pain. A blood sample revealed severe inflammation and computed tomography showed an 8 mm diameter stone in the right middle ureter and hydronephrosis. The patient was diagnosed with calculous pyelonephritis and underwent emergency ureteral stenting and antibiotic therapy. On day 8 of hospitalization, hematuria and right back pain developed, and on day 9 bladder tamponade and anemia developed. Contrast-enhanced computed tomography revealed a ruptured pseudoaneurysm, and the patient underwent successful angioembolization. The patient was discharged on day 23. Conclusion: We report a case of a renal pseudoaneurysm possibly caused by calculous pyelonephritis.

Pseudoaneurysm of cystic artery stump after laparoscopic cholecystectomy managed successfully with branch hepatic artery embolization using jail technique.

An unusual manifestation caused by cholecystitis, infection, or iatrogenic damage after cholecystectomy is a pseudoaneurysm of the cystic artery. We report this rare illness in a 64-year-old man who visited the emergency room with hematemesis and anemia. The patient initially experienced acute cholecystitis and then underwent a laparoscopic cholecystectomy following which he developed a cystic artery pseudoaneurysm, secondary to infected fluid collection. Based on the patient's history and contrast-enhanced computer tomography abdomen, a diagnosis of pseudoaneurysm of the cystic artery was made. Angioembolization of the hepatic artery branch was performed to occlude the pseudoaneurysm.

Management of Pelvic Trauma.

Pelvic fractures are common after blunt trauma with patients' presentation ranging from stable with insignificant fractures to life-threatening exsanguination from unstable fractures. Often, hemorrhagic shock from a pelvic fracture may go unrecognized and high clinical suspicion for a pelvic source lies with the clinician. A multidisciplinary coordinated effort is required for management of these complex patients. In the exsanguinating patient, hemorrhage control remains the top priority and may be achieved with external stabilization, resuscitative endovascular balloon occlusion of the aorta, preperitoneal pelvic packing, angiographic intervention, or a combination of therapies. These modalities have been shown to reduce mortality in this challenging population.

Hypotension in the Emergency Department and Contrast Extravasation on Computerized Tomography Predict Blood Transfusion in Low-Energy Pelvic Fractures.

INTRODUCTION: Although low-energy pelvic fractures seldom present with significant hemorrhage, early recognition of at-risk patients is essential. We aimed to identify predictors of transfusion requirements in this cohort. METHODS: A 7-y retrospective chart review was performed. Low-energy mechanism was defined as falls of ≤5 feet. Fracture pattern was classified using the Orthopedic Trauma Association/Arbeitsgemeinschaft für Osteosynthesefragen system as A, B, or C. Primary outcome was transfusion of ≥2 units of packed red blood cells in the first 48 h. Univariable analysis and logistic regression analysis were performed. A P value ≤0.05 was considered significant. RESULTS: Five hundred forty six patients were included with median (interquartile range) age of 86 (79-91) and median (interquartile range) Injury Severity Score of 5 (4-8). Five hundred forty one (99%) had type A fractures. Twenty six (5%) had the primary outcome and 17 (3%) died. Logistic regression found that systolic blood pressure <100 mmHg at any time in the Emergency Department, Injury Severity Score, and pelvic angiography were predictors of the primary outcome. Seventeen percent of those who had the primary outcome died compared with 2% who did not (P = 0.0004). Three hundred sixty four (67%) received intravenous contrast for computerized tomography scans and of these, 44 (12%) had contrast extravasation (CE). CE was associated with the primary outcome but not mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Hypotension at any time in the Emergency Department and CE on computerized tomography predicted transfusion of ≥2 units packed red blood cells in the first 48 h in patients with low-energy pelvic fractures.

Emergency Angioembolization for Life-Threatening Hemorrhage in Wilms Tumor.

Introduction: Renal artery embolization has been used in a palliative fashion for symptomatic relief of hematuria or flank pain in unresectable renal cell carcinoma in adults. There is limited data on the use of embolization for actively bleeding and unresectable tumors in the oncological pediatric population. Case Description: A previously healthy 5-year-old boy with no significant past medical or surgical history presented to the clinic with gradually worsening abdominal distension associated with occasional abdominal pain, gross hematuria, and lethargy for four months. Diagnostic investigations showed an 18-cm left-sided metastatic (pulmonary) renal tumor (Wilms), which was deemed unresectable on imaging. Treatment was planned according to the SIOP-RTSG protocol. However, he became hemodynamically and vitally unstable with acute, sudden distension of the abdomen on the left side after the first cycle of chemotherapy. Imaging showed active bleeding from an inferior branch of the left renal artery. Selective angioembolization was done, and chemotherapy was reinitiated with a patent left main renal artery. Following the fourth cycle of chemotherapy, he developed hemodynamic instability and abdominal pain; imaging revealed the resolution of pulmonary nodules and bleeding from the left renal artery (main); this was again embolized, and the patient was stabilized. The patient was operated on after optimization, and a complete resection of the mass was done with negative margins. On six months follow-up, he is well. Practical Implications: To the best of our knowledge, this is the first case where angioembolization has been done in conjunction with neoadjuvant chemotherapy to downsize a Wilms tumor to achieve favorable outcomes. Continued research efforts are necessary to optimize strategies and improve the prognosis for pediatric patients, and this case is one of the prime examples.

Outcomes of Preperitoneal Packing and Angioembolization for Hemorrhage Control in Hemodynamically Unstable Pelvic Fractures: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Hemodynamically unstable pelvic fractures are often life-threatening injuries; however, the optimal management remains uncertain. This systematic review and meta-analysis aim to evaluate the most appropriate primary management of hemorrhage in adult patients with hemodynamically unstable pelvic fractures by comparing outcomes following the initial use of preperitoneal packing (PPP) vs angioembolization (AE). METHODS: A systematic search of PubMed, Embase, Google Scholar, and ProQuest databases was conducted following PRISMA guidelines. Studies assessing hemorrhage management in trauma patients with hemodynamically unstable pelvic fractures were included. The data extracted from selected articles included patient demographics, study design, and outcomes such as 24-hour PRBC transfusions, in-hospital mortality, and DVT rate. RESULTS: Eight articles were included in the systematic review. Among the included studies, 2040 patients with hemodynamically unstable pelvic fractures were analyzed. Meta-analyses revealed that treatment with PPP was associated with fewer 24-hour PRBC transfusions (mean difference = -1.0, 95% CI: -1.8 to -.2) than AE. However, no significant differences were noted in in-hospital mortality (RR: .91, 95% CI: .80-1.05) and the rate of deep vein thrombosis (RR: .89, 95% CI: .62-1.28) between groups. CONCLUSION: The findings of this study suggest that primary management with PPP was associated with fewer 24-hour PRBC transfusions compared to AE. The choice of primary management with PPP or AE did not significantly impact in-hospital mortality. Future studies should address clinical outcomes and the factors that affect them to better understand the impact of different management strategies and direct the creation of practice management guidelines.

Early pregnancy ruptured intraparenchymal renal artery aneurysm associated with fetal down syndrome: A case report and literature review.

Pregnancy-associated spontaneous rupture of renal artery aneurysm (PSRRAA) is a rare emergency that may lead to deleterious maternal and fetal outcomes. We present the first report of PSRRAA during early pregnancy and to be associated with trisomy-21 in a six-week pregnant lady. Intraabdominal bleeding suspicion confirmed by contrast-enhanced computed tomography showing aneurysmal rupture which was managed by percutaneous angioembolization. PSRRAA is a challenging diagnosis and a life-threatening emergency. A high index of suspicion to diagnose PSRRAA even in early pregnancy is needed. Management of PSRRAA has a high risk of fetal radiation exposure that may lead to congenital anomalies.

Use of angioembolization, treatment modalities and mortality in association with blunt liver trauma in Germany - a data analysis of the TraumaRegister DGU®.

PURPOSE: Angioembolization (ANGIO) is highly valued in national and international guideline recommendations as a treatment adjunct with blunt liver trauma (BLT). The literature on BLT shows that treatment, regardless of the severity of liver injury, can be accomplished with a high success rate using nonoperative management (NOM). An indication for surgical therapy (SURG) is only seen in hemodynamically instable patients. For Germany, it is unclear how frequently NOM ± ANGIO is actually used, and what mortality is associated with BLT. METHODS: A retrospective systematic data analysis of patients with BLT from the TraumaRegister DGU® was performed. All patients with liver injury AIS ≥ 2 between 2015 and 2020 were included. The focus was to evaluate the use ANGIO as well as treatment selection (NOM vs. SURG) and mortality in relation to liver injury severity. Furthermore, independent risk factors influencing mortality were identified, using multivariate logistic regression. RESULTS: A total of 2353 patients with BLT were included in the analysis. ANGIO was used in 18 cases (0.8%). NOM was performed in 70.9% of all cases, but mainly in less severe liver trauma (AIS ≤ 2, abbreviated injury scale). Liver injuries AIS ≥ 3 were predominantly treated surgically (64.6%). Overall mortality associated with BLT was 16%. Severity of liver injury ≥ AIS 3, age > 60 years, hemodynamic instability (INSTBL), and mass transfusion (≥ 10 packed red blood cells/pRBC) were identified as independent risk factors contributing to mortality in BLT. CONCLUSION: ANGIO is rarely used in BLT, contrary to national and international guideline recommendations. In Germany, liver injuries AIS ≥ 3 are still predominantly treated surgically. BLT is associated with considerable mortality, depending on the presence of specific contributing risk factors.

Confronting urethrorrhagia after Otis urethrotomy: a case report.

BACKGROUND: Otis urethrotomy can sometimes lead to troublesome bleeding after seemingly uneventful procedures. This case report highlights one such case which went unnoticed initially; the bleeding was erroneously ascribed to the prostate, thereby falsely indicting the "decoy" prostate. CASE PRESENTATION: A 78-year-old Asian gentleman was referred to our hospital with complaint of intractable bleeding after undergoing laser enucleation of prostate at another institute, wherein he further underwent unsuccessful bilateral angioembolization of pudendal arteries. On endoscopy (for hemostasis), we found a spurting vessel in the navicular fossa, which was effectively controlled. CONCLUSIONS: This case report highlights the importance of performing prompt endoscopy in case of uncontrolled bleeding after prostate endoscopic surgery.

Feasibility of non-operative management for patients sustained blunt splenic traumas with concomitant aortic injuries.

PURPOSE: This study aimed to elucidate the treatment approach for blunt splenic injuries concurrently involving the aorta. We hypothesized that non-operative management failure rates would be higher in such cases, necessitating increased hemorrhage control surgeries. METHODS: Data from the Trauma Quality Improvement Program spanning 2017 to 2019 were utilized. All patients with blunt splenic trauma were considered for inclusion. We conducted comparisons between blunt splenic trauma patients with and without thoracic or abdominal aortic injuries to identify any potential disparities in treatment. RESULTS: Among the 32,051 patients with blunt splenic injuries during the study period, 752 (2.3%) sustained concurrent aortic injuries. Following 2:1 propensity score matching, it was determined that the presence of aortic injuries did not significantly affect the utilization of splenic transarterial angioembolization (TAE) (7.2% vs. 8.7%, p = 0.243) or the necessity for splenectomy or splenorrhaphy (15.3% vs. 15.7%, p = 0.853). Moreover, aortic injuries were not a significant factor contributing to TAE failure, regardless of the location or severity of the injury. Patients with simultaneous splenic and aortic injuries required more red blood cell transfusion within first 4 hours (0 ml [0, 900] vs. 0 ml [0, 650], p = 0.001) and exhibited a higher mortality rate (10.6% vs. 7.9%, p = 0.038). CONCLUSION: This study demonstrated that patients with concurrent aortic and splenic injuries presented with more severe conditions, higher mortality rates, and extended hospital stays. The presence of aortic injuries did not substantially influence the utilization of TAE or the necessity for splenectomy or splenorrhaphy. Patients of this type can be managed in accordance with current treatment guidelines. Nonetheless, given their less favorable prognosis, they necessitate prompt and proactive intervention.

Delayed Hemobilia: A Rare Case of Biliary Bleeding One Year After Metallic Stent Placement.

Hemobilia is a rare cause of upper GI bleed. This case report discusses hemobilia caused as a delayed complication of self-expanding metallic stent (SEMS) placement in a 65-year-old male. Our patient had a history of hepatitis C and an unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma, treated with chemotherapy and radiation therapy, which caused obstructive jaundice, which in turn led to the placement of SEMS. This case highlights the challenges in managing late-onset biliary bleeding, especially in patients with underlying malignancies. Detection of bleeding in a timely manner is crucial in devising the treatment plan. Angiographic occlusion is the first line of management to stop the bleed followed by definitive surgery or stent revision. Severe complications can occur in patients with poor general health. This case report addresses the importance of monitoring the patient and the need for collaborative efforts across specialties in managing complex cases. Despite the best efforts of the medical team, this case serves as a reminder of the complex and twisted nature of medical conditions, telling us the importance of developing suitable treatment strategies for each patient's needs and healthcare requirements.

A Case of Massive Gastrointestinal Bleeding Due to Abdominal Tuberculosis.

This case is about a complication of abdominal tuberculosis in the form of a massive lower gastrointestinal (GI) bleed, which was timely intervened by angioembolization. A young man in his mid-20s on empirical anti-tubercular therapy (ATT) for abdominal tuberculosis, presented with severe abdominal pain. The patient then developed frank per rectal bleeding, leading to a significant drop in hemoglobin level, requiring multiple blood transfusions. Upper GI endoscopy and colonoscopy findings were inconclusive. Contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CECT) of the abdomen was performed, which revealed a contrast extravasation into the jejunum due to a leak in the jejunal branch of the superior mesenteric artery (SMA), followed by selective SMA angiography (digital subtraction angiography), which was arrested by angioembolization. The patient had multiple abdominal lymphadenopathies with omental nodules. Histopathological examination of the omental nodules revealed epithelioid granuloma with Langerhans-type cells. The patient is currently receiving ATT and is doing well.

A case report on enormous haemangioma of liver.

Introduction: Hemangiomas are the most common benign liver tumour. These tumours arise from the proliferation of vascular endothelial cells and increase in size owing to dilation. If their diameter exceeds 5 cm, they are classified as giant hemangiomas, while those surpassing 15 cm are considered enormous hemangiomas. Case presentation: A 38-year-old female patient presented with complaints of abdominal fullness for 18 months. Contrast-enhanced computed tomography was performed and two hemangiomas were diagnosed; the , larger one was an enormous hemangioma of size 20 × 16 cm. Non-anatomical hepatic resection was performed to remove the hemangiomas. The patient recovered well, without any complications. Clinical discussion: Hepatic hemangiomas are common, but hemangiomas greater than 15 cm in size are rare. They usually require no treatment unless the patient is symptomatic. Hepatectomy and enucleation of hemangioma are the most common surgical procedure for such hemangioma. Conclusions: Rarely, large hepatic hemangioma can be the cause of abdominal fullness lasting for months. Often, surgical intervention is required.

Hepatectomy During the Pandemic, a Curative Treatment in High-Grade and/or Hemodynamically Unstable Blunt Liver Trauma.

The liver is among the most affected organs in the case of abdominal trauma. In the last decades there have been significant changes in therapeutic protocols, non-operative management is now the first intention in most cases due to good results offered previously. In high-grade or hemodynamically unstable injuries, hepatectomy is the best approach, even though this was viewed with skepticism in the past, technical advances in medicine have proven otherwise. This article presents a case report of a 29-year-old man with blunt abdominal trauma, who initially underwent conservative atypical right hepatectomy without a favourable outcome, later he was transferred to a liver transplant center where he underwent a controlled right hepatectomy, all this in a new epidemiological context, the COVID-19 Pandemic. We want to present the hypothesis that in making a therapeutic decision, the hemodynamic status of the patient must be considered equally along with the injury degree. This case represents an opportunity to review the role of liver resection in the management of complex liver injuries.

Small Tumor, Major Complication: A Case of Spontaneous Perinephric Hematoma From a Small Renal Angiomyolipoma.

A renal angiomyolipoma is a benign kidney tumor composed of muscle, fat, and blood vessels. It is the most common benign kidney tumor, and it affects women more frequently than men. Angiomyolipomas can be small and asymptomatic, or they can be large, presenting with symptoms such as discomfort, hematuria, and hypertension. Occasionally, the rupture of an angiomyolipoma can cause a perinephric hematoma. This case report discusses a patient who developed a spontaneous large perinephric hematoma alongside a small renal angiomyolipoma. Aneurysm was seen on imaging. Angioembolization was successfully used for treatment. We explore the significance of the presence or absence of an aneurysm in predicting the risk of hemorrhage, particularly in association with small lesions. Angioembolization is an excellent choice for treating angiomyolipomas associated with significant hematomas.

Association of Time to Definitive Hemostasis With Mortality in Patients With Solid Organ Injuries.

Introduction The Golden Hour is a term used in the trauma setting to refer to the first 60 minutes after injury. Traditionally, definitive care within this period was believed to dramatically increase a patient's survival. Though the period of 60 minutes is unlikely to represent a point of distinct inflection in survival, the effect of time to definitive care on survival remains incompletely understood. This study aims to measure the association of time to definitive hemostasis with mortality in patients with solid organ injuries as well as the effect of survival bias and a form of selection bias known as indication by severity on the relationship between time to treatment and survival. Methodology This is a retrospective cohort study using data obtained from the American College of Surgeons National Trauma Data Bank (NTDB) from the years 2017 through 2019 selecting patients treated for blunt liver, spleen, or kidney injury who required angioembolization or surgical hemostasis within six hours. A Cox proportional hazards regression was used to analyze time to death. The association of probability of death with time was examined with a multivariate logistic regression initially treating the relationship as linear and subsequently transforming time to hemostasis with restricted cubic splines to model a non-linear association with the outcome. To model survival and indication by severity bias, we created a computer-generated data set and used LOESS regressions to display curves of the simulated data. Results The multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis shows a coefficient of negative 0.004 for minutes to hemostasis with an adjusted hazard ratio of 0.9959 showing the adjusted hazard of death slightly diminishes with each increasing minute to hemostasis. The likelihood ratio chi-square difference between the model with time to hemostasis included as a linear term versus the model with the restricted cubic spline transformation is 97.46 (p<0.0001) showing the model with restricted cubic splines is a better fit for the data. The computer-generated data simulating treatment of solid organ injury with no programmed bias displays an almost linear association of mortality with increased treatment delay. When indications by severity bias and survival bias are introduced, the risk of death decreases with time to hemostasis as in the real-world data. Conclusion Decreasing mortality with increasing delay to hemostasis in trauma patients with solid organ injury is likely due to confounding due to indication by severity and survival bias. After taking these biases into account, the association of delayed hemostasis with better survival is not likely due to the benefit of delay but rather the delay sorts patients by severity of injury with those more likely to die being treated first. These biases are extremely difficult to eliminate which limits the ability to measure the true effect of delay with retrospective data. The findings may however be of value as a predictive model to anticipate the acuity of a patient after an interval of unavoidable delay such as with a long transfer time.